Showing posts with label Frederick Forsyth. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Frederick Forsyth. Show all posts

Saturday, 27 August 2016

Why Frederick Forsyth is talking rubbish about NHS investment

One of my favourite columnists is Federick Forsyth in the Daily Express every Friday. Unlike the inane babble spouted by most tabloid celebrity columnists, who have dull lives and merely peddle tittle tattle, Fred has lead an interesting life and has plenty to say. I don't agree with most of his politics, but he makes interesting and well argued points and can bring a wealth of experience and anecdotes to support his views. This week however he demonstated that he really doesn't understand government or running a business. In his column, under the title "Doublespeak Politicians just love to 'invest' " he betrays a fundamental failure to appreciate what the govt is supposed to do with our money. He says

HAVE you noticed that politicians and most especially Left-wingers never mention the word “spending” when they unveil their economic plans? Thus Jeremy Corbyn, in a long, recent list of proposals, managed to blow several hundred billion pounds on the “investments” he would like to make if, heaven forbid, he ever actually got into power. 
Let’s be frank. If you really invest, the money remains yours and you can retrieve it when you want unless you have been daft enough to sign away your right to do that. And invested money provides a “yield” or “return on investment” – the ROI – which is the point of wise investment. But when it is spent, it’s gone. 
Thus, you cannot “invest” in the NHS. So billions are spent on it. OK, it’s a good expenditure to provide a nationwide healthcare service free at the point of delivery. But it is not an investment. We are never going to see it back or get an annual dividend dropping on to the doormat. 
Mind you, we live in a world of euphemisms, platitudes and smarmy untruths. 
Perhaps someone should create a parallel dictionary: what big business, advertisers, officialdom and politicians tell you and what it really means in plain English. It would be quite a big lexicon because what is said and what it really means is very rarely the same nowadays.

Mr Forsyth states "You cannot invest in the NHS" on the grounds "invested money provides a yield or return on investment". Sadly Fred really hasn't thought this through. There are three ways in which his statement is factually incorrect. First, there are many opportunities for investment in the NHS which will produce a yield for the taxpayer. Mr Forsyth should know better than anyone that technology is always offering investment opportunities, to increase efficiency in the way we do things. I will give one example. Fifty years ago the process of taking X-Rays was done by large departments. All of the results were stored on film and there was a huge requirement for a library system for the prints. These had to be kept for decades so comparisons etc could be performed. Modern technology means they are now digitised. This frees up land, reduces the number of staff required to run X Ray departments and means they cost far less to run. As the government funds this process, the investment in new equipment has produced a very real and tangible return for the taxpayer as the they have to levy less tax to pay for X rays. This process has been repeated in every part of the NHS. Had the governement not invested in this modernisation and we still used the 1950's way of doing things the NHS would cost many billions more to run.

The second way in which the NHS delivers a return for the government is when investment in new treatments mean that people who were previously unable to work are able to be treated and return to contributing to the economy. The NHS is just one strand of the UK economy, the government is responsible for the whole thing. It is true that the NHS is largely a cost centre, but it is a necessary one as it keeps the population fit and in good shape for work. This lowers the bill for disability benefits. I am a living example of how this works. Since 2011, I've been under the care of the NHS for cancer. In January I had a new treatment for prostate cancer, which has only been available for 4 years. The treatment is non invasive and thus far the results are good. By investing in screening and development of such treatments, people like me don't get ill with cancer and have to live on benefits at huge cost to the taxpayer. I have a friend who recently had stents for a chrnic heart condition. Twenty years ago he'd be living on cardiac drugs or even dead. If he was dead, the taxpayer would be picking up the bill for his family. Lowering the tax bill by having lower levels of chronic illness is a great example. Perhaps the greatest return on investment has been for immunisation programs that have eliminated diseases such as polio, measles and mumps. Improvements in osbstetrics have also massively reduced the number of problems with births. These have contributed massively to reducing the cost of running the nation. If this is not a wise investment, I've no idea what is.

The third way in which investment in the NHS produces a dividend is perhaps the most obvious, even for someone like Fred, who clearly doesn't get business. The NHS is continually developing and pioneering new treatments. Once these have been perfected, they are then licensed and sold around the world. The UK is a centre of excellence and doctors come from all over the world to learn about the innovations we provide. This generates huge amounts of money for the GDP.

Fred Forsyth says that because we won't get a dividend check through the door, it is wrong to define it as an investment. I couldn't disagree more. The dividend check is paid in the way the NHS is continually using technology to develop new treatments, to make more people well again and that citizens of the UK pay less money than any other developed nation for first class medical care. 

There are all manner of reasons someone will invest. Some people invest to recieve a big dividend check. Some people invest in companies, because they know that there won't be dividends for years (even decades) but the company is developing producst that will make the share value rocket (early google investors are an example of this). Then there are people who invest in shares to get a shareholder benefit. For years I held shares in The Restaurant Group. They gave every shareholder 12 vouchers a year that gave them 30% off the full price of a meal for up to 12 people. As the restarants like Frankie and Bennys, Chiquito and Blubeckers were favourites of my family and kids, my £1000 investment was recovered in 2 years of savings on family nights out. For me the best "shareholder benefit" of the NHS is that I am still alive and you really can't get a better benefit than that!

Sunday, 23 May 2010

A message to William Hague : What is the point of having an Army?

I've been brought up to believe that the British armed forces are the best in the world. If it is true then it must also be true that our politicians are the worst in the world. How can I say this? Well the purpose of having armed forces is to protect the citizens of the nation.Paul and Rachel Chandler were kidnapped by Somali pirates whilst sailing from the Seychelles to Tanzania in October.

It has emerged that a vessel of the Royal Navy was on hand and could have intervened. This article in the Independent explains the view of the ministry of defence that no action was taken because the couple might have been killed. Daily Express columnist Frederick Forsyth has uncovered information that the crew of the Navy vessel asked permission to intervene but were denied it by Whitehall. Well I ask this. If we really have the worlds greatest armed forces, then William Hague, the new Foreign Secretary should instruct the MOD to launch a rescue mission. Does anyone seriously believe that a rag bag hotch potch band of Somali pirates would be any sort of a match for a squad of Royal Marines and SAS. I would go further. Once we'd got the Chandlers back, if I were Hague I'd instruct the Royal Navy to go on a search and destroy offensive against these Somali Pirates. Sink all of their vessels and destroy all of their operating bases. Once this had been completed, Hague could announce that this was would happen to any rag bag band of such people who in any way threatened British pensioners. Apperently we have to spend £100 billion on a Trident replacement. If we can't even defend our citizens against a ragbag bunch of pirates, how can we possibly believe we'd ever use a nuclear weapon. We haven't got the balls. I think that such an action against this ragbag bunch of chancers would send a far stronger message and make British citizens sleep soundly in their beds (or yatch cabins) the world over.

This may sound like a very harsh course of action for a lefty such as myself, but I take the view that these pirates do nothing for the ordinary people of Somalia. Until such time as the develeped nations deal seriously with such lawlessness, that country can never move on. These people make millions fro piracy, which means that decent Somalians will never get the chance to build up their country. If we won't use our armed forces against a ragbag bunch of pirates, why have them? I know quite a few servicemen and ex servicemen. They are ashamed at how we sit on our hands when things such as this happen. Is it because the Royal Marines and the SAS say "Sorry we can't do it, we may get hurt?". No of course it isn't. That's their job and they'd love to do it. It is because are politicians are cowards. I can guarantee this. If we got our boys and girls to do their job and sorted this out, people would walk with an extra spring in their step. They would feel proud to be British.  There is no nice way to deal with piracy. The very worst way is to pay them off. We have a new government. If it shows that it has balls, it may just succeed. If it hasn't, then it deserves to fail. If the Chandlers are still in captivity in three months time or we've paid a ransom, then William Hague will have shown that he's a failure and not fit for the job.