Three reasons to vote Green in the Barnet Council Elections in May

As regular readers of this blog will know, there are elections for Barnet Council on the 3rd May. Currently there are 32 Conservative Councillors, 30 Labour Councillors and one Lib Dem Councillor. The Barnet Eye has been looking at what the Green party are up to in the Borough and why you may wish to vote for them. Lets start with a round up of what the "Big" Parties are doing, so we can see why an alternative may be appealing.

The Labour Party are targetting Hale ward as they only need to win two more seats to take control of the Council. Twitter is awash with pictures of Tory and Labour teams trudging around Hale Ward. Here are a couple of my favourite tweets from these teams. Lets start with the Tories.

Brilliant turnout in #Hale ward with our @LdnConservative team #ListeningToBarnet. @Offord4Hendon & @BarnetTories working hard to deliver for residents. Don't settle for second best. pic.twitter.com/jaj2dBF6Ag

— Paul Scully MP (@scullyp) February 25, 2018

Now this is quite hilarious. Currently the Tories have two councillors in Hale Ward. One of them, Tom Davey works for a Tobacco company and has got a new. plumb job with his company, doing his bit for public health, so he is standing down. The other councillor is Hugh Rayner. Hugh is a nice chap, I get on well with Hugh, but he's decided that he's had enough of Hale (well it is very marginal) so he's moving to the next door ward of Edgware, where he believes he's got a nice, comfy safe seat. Sadly Hugh is nowhere to be seen canvassing in his own current ward. In fact the Tories are so desperate that they need to get MP's to drive up from Sutton to make up the numbers. I am sure that Paul Scully MP is highly interested in the affairs of Hale Ward and deeply committed to ensuring it gets it's Xmas Trees taken away promptly and its potholes mended.

As for Labour.......

Great morning on the #labourdoorstep in Hale with two of our fab candidates @rachellybee @vellstells @BarnetLabour pic.twitter.com/eWhZGuLuY1

— Adam Langleben 🇪🇺 (@adamlangleben) February 11, 2018

I was quite amused by this. As Barnet residents well know, there are three candidates per ward. Labour currently have one councillor in Hale Ward. A gleeful Tory told me that they are referring to the current Labour councillor as "The Invisible Woman" and are drawing attention to her attendance record at Council meetings.

I have been reliably informed that the Green Party are seeing Hale as a fantastic opportunity. The voters are clearly split in their allegiances. The Greens organised a noisy stunt in Mill Hill Broadway a couple of weeks ago to bolster this campaign in Hale Ward  (Adele Ward has since informed me that the event was not set up by Barnet Greens and was a cross party event and that despite the Youtube page saying that it showed "Barnet Green Party with Spoof Boris and the Number 10 Vigil campaigners singing in the wind and rain in Mill Hill." They were not actually campaigning and that Hale is not on their list of targets - The Barnet Eye would humbly suggest that if they are posting cross party events on Youtube and Twitter, they label them as such)

More from spoof Boris supported by @BarnetGreens in Mill Hill. Number 10 Vigil campaigners visit Barnet. https://t.co/y40FjhYYci @LonGreenParty @TimesJenny

— Adele Ward (@AdeleWard) February 10, 2018

I was intrigued to find out what the Barnet Green Party had to offer the voters of Hale ward. I had a look at their website, to find out their local agenda and policies. The Greens are well known for being good at picking up on local issues. To my surprise, there is no tab for policies or local issues. I thought I'd do a trawl of twitter to see what they had to say. I am pleased to report that I liked what I saw! I thought I'd share some of them. Here, in tweets, are three great reasons to vote Green in Hale ward in May.

1. The Greens like dogs. My mum always told me not to trust people who don't like dogs. Therefore the Greens must by highly trustworthy!

We celebrated a year of Larry on February 25th. Here he is in Battersea Dogs Home waiting to come home with me. @battersea_ pic.twitter.com/ox7AbpQtUn

— Adele Ward (@AdeleWard) February 26, 2018

2. The Barnet Greens are against air pollution. So am I, so what better reason to like them

The main #Barnet parties sought to prove their green credentials at the hustings, please retweet and have clean air for the people of Barnet @ChippBarnet4EU @chippingLabour @barnet_unison @BarnetLabour @BarnetLibDems @BarnetTorieshttps://t.co/hg8D8wUCAU https://t.co/LydPSqkbs1

— Barnet Green Party (@BarnetGreens) February 24, 2018

3. The Greens have come up with lots of policies that the other parties have nicked.

Corbyn claims Labour is the ONLY party recognising that the world has changed in the last ten years? The same party that copied @TheGreenParty 2015 manifesto for the GE2017? Pity, No Ratification Referendum.#Brexit #ABTV #FBPE @BarnetLibDems @BarnetLabour @BarnetTories

— Barnet Green Party (@BarnetGreens) February 26, 2018

It is unquestionably true that the Green party are a fantastic pressure group and put policies on the table that the main parties wouldn't touch with a bargepole. As the third tweet notes, their manifesto's are regularly looted by the larger parties. Who could forget the David Camerons bizarre trip to the North Pole with a team of huskies (he clearly likes dogs, so he was deffo trustworthy) to promote his green credentials.

But having accepted that the Greens are a force for good in the world, does that mean we should consider voting for them in the Council elections in May? Well it does appear that, following on from Camerons Husky trip, the Barnet Tories would love you to vote Green. A tweet from leading Barnet Green Candidate Adele Ward yesterday revealed that the Tories have been sharing information and giving her campaigning tips in previous elections.

Why would the Barnet Tories step in to help a rival party? As Adele reveals the Tories have huge resources and a fantastic database of voters. What possible reason could there be for the Tories to want the Barnet Green party to do well?

Sadly the answer is easy to see. Have a look at the results for the last general election in Chipping Barnet

Chipping Barnet Parliamentary Constituency

NAMES OF CANDIDATES
SURNAME	OTHER NAMES	Party	Number of votes recorded
FLETCHER	Phil	Green Party	1406
RAY	Marisha Priyanka	Liberal Democrat	3012
VILLIERS	Theresa Anne	The Conservative Party Candidate	25679 (elected)
WHYSALL	Emma Felicity Maude	Labour Party	25326

As you can see the answers are there in black and white. The Tories had a wafer thin majority. It is highly likely that the vast majority of Green voters in Chipping Barnet would have voted for Jeremy Corbyn's Labour if the Greens had not been running. In short, the 2.5% of the vote that the Green party siphoned off from Labour was the difference between a Tory and Labour party win.

If you look at the results of the Barnet Council elections in 2014, a pattern emerges

A simple analysis shows that despite having a tiny percentage of the vote, this had a devastating effect on the results.

In Brunswick Park ward, if James Rowe had picked up 80 of the 499 votes the Green Candidate got, then Labour would have won and the Council would have been hung

Brunswick Park (3 seats)^[6]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±
	Labour	Kathy Levine	1,951
	Labour	Andreas Ioannidis	1,944
	Conservative	Lisa Rutter	1,899
	Conservative	Andreas Tambourides	1,876
	Labour	James Rowe	1,820
	Conservative	Antonis Savvides	1,742
	Green	Howard Javes	499

In Childs Hill, split between Jack Cohen of the Lib Dems and the Tories, the 501 Green votes could have delivered one more Lib Dem Councillor, which again would have resulted in a hung council

Childs Hill (3 seats)^[6]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±
	Conservative	Shimon Ryde	1,544
	Conservative	Peter Zinkin	1,536
	Liberal Democrat	Jack Cohen	1,509
	Conservative	Rohit Grover	1,500
	Labour	Andrew Smith	1,463
	Labour	Ade Ajakaiye	1,408
	Labour	Nila Patel	1,381
	Liberal Democrat	Charlotte Henry	1,222
	Liberal Democrat	Jonathan Davies	1,198
	Green	Francesco Marasco	501

In Hale ward, the 536 Green votes would have delivered two more Labour Councillors and given Labour an outright win.

Hale (3 seats)^[6]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±
	Conservative	Tom Davey	2,178
	Conservative	Hugh Rayner	2,155
	Labour	Kitty Lyons	2,019
	Conservative	Elliot Simberg	2,010
	Labour	Pierre Jeanmaire	1,994
	Labour	Roger Lyons	1,870
	Green	Nicolas Ceasar	536

In High Barnet, a strong Green show denied Labour one seat, which would have resulted in a hung council

High Barnet (3 seats)^[6]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±
	Conservative	Wendy Prentice	2,171
	Conservative	David Longstaff	2,161
	Conservative	Bridget Perry	2,152
	Labour	Phil Harding	1,209
	Labour	Marianne Haylett	1,188
	Labour	Paul Levine	1,052
	Green	Phil Fletcher	973
	Green	A. M. Poppy	922
	Liberal Democrat	Duncan MacDonald	859
	Green	Valerie Lawson	828
	Liberal Democrat	Sean Hooker	705
	Liberal Democrat	Jane Gibson	631
Total votes			14,851

Whatever you may think of the Green Party and their policies and I am very sympathetic to many of them, the case is unarguable. There were four wards in 2014 where the Green party votes clearly influenced the outcome in favour of the Conservatives.  Any in any one of these wards, a single opposition victory would have changed the whole nature of the last four years in Barnet politics.

It could not be clearer why the Conservatives are assisting the Green Party. The reason why the Tories are so successful at elections is because they are masters of the "divide and rule" strategy. Of course we live in a democracy and it is right and proper that the Green Party run candidates wherever they want.  If the Tories want to help them and NO LAWS OR RULES are being broken, that is really an issue for the Greens and The Conservative party.

As far as I am concerned, the issue for those of us who don't want to see a Conservative regime returned to Barnet Town Hall in May, those of us who care about Green Belt Erosion, those of us who want the Council to persue policies that reduce air pollution and those of us who want the Council to actively promote renewable and clean energy, is that a vote for the Green party is effectively a back door vote for the Conservatives. Before Adele Ward spilled the beans, I would have doubted that the Tories would have been so bare faced in their pursuit of power.

You may wonder how the Tories would have helped the Greens? Well the tweet clearly states they shared information on voters intentions. The large parties spend a lot of time canvassing voters and learning how they are likely to vote. They use this to ensure that they deliver the appropriate message on the doorstep and don't waste too much time speaking to people who will never vote for them. If a Tory canvasser knocks on the door and someone says "I'm Labour" then they would mark them as such. If someone says "I don't vote Tory" then that is slightly different. Passing that information onto the Greens means that the much smaller Green canvassing teams can work more effectively.

As to "advice on campaigning techniques", the Conservatives would doubtless be telling the Green party activists to target what they have identified as seats where a Tory opponent voter has softened.

A good example of this is High Barnet, where the Green candidates got their highest vote in Barnet in 2014. The picture was very different in 2010, so lets compare.

High Barnet (3 seats)^[6]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±
	Conservative	Wendy Prentice	3,499
	Conservative	Bridget Perry	3,469
	Conservative	David Longstaff	3,290
	Liberal Democrat	Duncan MacDonald	2,505
	Liberal Democrat	Sean Hooker	2,436
	Liberal Democrat	Jonty Stern	1,928
	Labour	Sue Russell	1,238
	Labour	Philip Harding	1,233
	Labour	Erach Amaria	1,136
	Green	Maggie Curati	661
	Green	Richard Hewison	578
	Green	Tim Riley	421

In 2010, Duncan MacDonald and Sean Hooker of the Lib Dems secured a total that would have easily won in 2014. As the Lib Dems were badly hit by their alliance with the Tories in the Coalition between 2010 and 2015, both Labour and the Greens sought to attack the Lib Dem vote. The Greens were telling votes that the Lib Dems were finished and they were now the credible opposition. This is born out by the fact that it was one of the few seats that the Greens ran three candidates.

Sadly the great Green victory in the 2014 Battle of Barnet, simply resulted in a three way split allowing the Tories to march in. The Phyrric victory the Greens achieved was to come third and ensure that the Conservatives won.

The lesson from this is quite simple. The Tories are not supporting the Green Party in Barnet out of the goodness of their heart. They are supporting them because it is good for their own vote. The Greens are happy to be helped, not because they want too advance the progressive agenda in Barnet. They are happy to receive help because their personal vanity means they want to be able to say they've "done well". If they were serious about politics, their website would have a strong local agenda. If any Green party activist tells you they have a chance of winning any seat in Barnet, they are not telling the truth. If any Green party activist tells you they are an alternative to Labour or the Lib Dems in your local ward, they are not telling the truth, because they have no chance of winning. If you believe in the Green Party, it's fine principles and its agenda, and you dislike all of the other parties then yes you should vote for them. If you are voting Green because you think that it will help advance the Green agenda in Barnet, then think again. The Barnet Tories clearly see the Greens as a Fifth Column of "Useful Idiots" who help them win elections.

When the election results are released after the Council elections in May, I for one, hope that I don't wake up to the same result as we saw in 2014. I hope there are not four wards where the Tories hung on to power due to their friends in the Green party.

I have one final question. I believe in openness and honesty in Politics. I trust the Greens do. Adele Ward has behaved in a commendable and honest fashion in revealing that the Torys have been helping her. I think we now need a full and frank disclosure from all of the Barnet Green candidates, past and present, to reveal exactly who has been helped, how they have been helped and what the financial ramifications are of such help.  There are two serious matters to consider. There are strict limits on how much parties can spend on Election campaigns. My questions are as follows:-

1. Have the Barnet Conservatives properly declared the value of the assistance supplied to the Greens in previous elections in their financial returns.
2. Have the Barnet Green Party properly declared the value of the assistance that the Tories have supplied them in their previous election returns.

This is a serious matter and these questions need a proper answer.